بناء و تقييم أداء محافظ الزخم النشطة في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية
الكلمات المفتاحية:
سوق العراق للأوراق المالية، أداء محافظ الزخم النشطةالملخص
تزخر الأسواق في العالم بنشاطات اقتصادية متنوعة تمتاز بسرعة تغيير عالية في جميع القطاعات و على وجه التحديد النشاط في السوق المالية كمتطلب لتلبية حاجة الاستثمار و حركة تنمية الأموال و التي تعد المحفظة الاستثمارية فيها الخطوة الأولى و الأهم للقيام بالنشاط الاستثماري و فضلا عن ذلك فأن تباين رغبات المستثمرين و درجة تجنبهم المخاطرة و تفضيلاتهم للعائد اظهر أساليب متعددة في بناء المحافظ الاستثمارية و التي تطورت مع تطور السوق المالية و ادواتها و مداخلها و الذي منها مدخل التحليل الفني و الذي امتاز بالتطور الكبير في اساليبه في العقود الأخيرة بسبب ارتباطه العالي بتطور تكنلوجيا المعلومات و تباين سلوك المتداولين و هو ما انعكس في تشعب ادواته و تطبيقاته و منها ظاهرة الزخم التي اعتمدتها الدراسة الحالية ، اذ بعد ان تمت دراستها في العديد من الأسواق المالية في العالم ، جاءت هذه الدراسة لتحاول استخدام هذا الأسلوب في سوق العراق عبر بناء محافظ نشطة عالية الاداء و قد استنتجت الدراسة عدم إمكانية استخدام استراتيجيات الزخم في بناء محافظ الزخم الا في حدود المحافظ الرابحة منها بسبب ان عائد الزخم ضئيل فضلا عن الى ان كلفة المعاملة عالية مما تؤدي الى إزالة العائد بالكامل و تجعل نتائج المحفظة عائدات سلبية و اوصت الدراسة بضرورة دراسة تقليل كلفة المعاملة و التركيز على المدخل الفني عبر دراسة أساليب فنية أخرى لفتح الباب امام المستثمر العراقي في الحصول على خيارات استثمارية واسعة .
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